Brokers forecasts

Brokers Consensus

When calculating the consensus, date-weighting is used to give more emphasis to recent forecasts. For more detailed information, please see the brokers forecast chart below.

Period		2012	2013
EPS	P	54.71	59.79
EPS (3 month change)	P	1.26	3.26
No. Brokers		4	4
Std Dev	P	2.89	3.92
Growth	%	31.57	9.29
Prosp P/E	x	11.64	10.65

Detailed Brokers Forecasts

The forecasts are listed in date order and the date shows when each forecast was published or later revised. If the current forecast is an upgrade (or downgrade) of an earlier forecast, an arrow indicates the part of the forecast that has been changed.

Just below the consensus forecast there are two lines showing the one-month change and the three-month change compared with earlier consensus forecasts

			2012			2013
			Pretax	EPS	DPS	Pretax	EPS	DPS
Broker	Date		£m	p	p	£m	p	p
Arden Partners	06 March 2012	ADD	37.0	57.3	22.3	41.0	63.5	24.5
N+1 Brewin	05 March 2012	ADD	34.3	51.9	22.0	36.8	55.7	23.5
Investec Securities	23 November 2011	BUY	36.8	54.8	22.5	40.8	59.9	24.0
Numis Securities Ltd	16 August 2011	ADD	31.7	49.6	21.0	34.1	53.3	22.0

Consensus			35.9	54.7	22.2	39.3	59.8	24.0
1 month change			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
3 month change			0.9	1.3	0.3	2.1	3.3	0.8

Directors' share dealings information provided by Hemscott | Disclaimer